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Retail Sales

ADVANCE MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL TRADE AND FOOD SERVICES

DECEMBER 2009

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for December, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $353.0 billion, a decrease of 0.3 percent (±0.5%)* from the previous month, but 5.4 percent (±0.5%) above December 2008. Total sales for the 12 months of 2009 were down 6.2 percent (±0.2%) from 2008. Total sales for the October through December 2009 period were up 1.9 percent (±0.3%) from the same period a year ago. The October to November 2009 percent change was revised from +1.3 percent (±0.5%) to +1.8 percent (±0.2%).

Retail trade sales were down 0.2 percent (±0.5%)* from November 2009, but 5.9 percent (±0.5%) above last year. Gasoline stations sales were up 33.6 percent (±1.5%) from December 2008 and nonstore retailers sales were up 10.3 percent (±1.7%) from last year.

The advance estimates are based on a subsample of the Census Bureau's full retail and food services sample. A stratified random sampling method is used to select approximately 5,000 retail and food services firms whose sales are then weighted and benchmarked to represent the complete universe of over three million retail and food services firms. Responding firms account for approximately 65% of the MARTS dollar volume estimate. For an explanation of the measures of sampling variability included in this report, please see the Reliability of Estimates section on the last page of this publication.

Percent Change in Retail and Food Services Sales

(Estimates adjusted for seasonal variation, holiday, and trading-day differences, but not for price changes)

 

For more information, visit the Census Bureau's Web site at <http://www.census.gov/retail>.

* The 90 percent confidence interval includes zero. The Census Bureau does not have sufficient statistical evidence to conclude that the actual change is different than zero.

Table 1.  Estimated Monthly Sales for Retail and Food Services, by Kind of Business
                         
                         
(Total sales estimates are shown in millions of dollars and are based on data from the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Survey, Monthly Retail
 Trade Survey,  and administrative records.)                        
    Not Adjusted   Adjusted2
NAICS1 Kind of Business 12 Month Total 2009 2008 2009 2008
code   % Chg. Dec.3 Nov. Oct. Dec. Nov. Dec.3 Nov. Oct. Dec.  Nov.
    2009 2008 (a) (p) (r)     (a) (p) (r) (r) (r)
                         
  Retail & food services,                         
    total ………………………………. 4,139,381 -6.2 409,231 347,175 344,726 387,964 338,788 352,985 353,951 347,641 335,016 345,175
    Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts) … 3,443,815 -4.9 352,419 295,513 287,895 334,459 289,976 293,545 294,025 288,445 278,928 288,233
                         
     Retail …..……………………………. 3,683,124 -7.0 370,945 311,226 306,112 350,138 302,569 315,041 315,789 309,821 297,453 307,210
GAFO4………………………....……...……...………….. (*) (*) (*) 102,736 91,199 136,308 103,191 (*) 94,795 94,335 92,358 94,499
                         
441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers ……. 695,566 -12.3 56,812 51,662 56,831 53,505 48,812 59,440 59,926 59,196 56,088 56,942
4411, 4412        Auto & other motor veh. dealers . 618,290 -13.4 50,727 45,771 50,147 47,105 42,565 53,173 53,659 52,842 49,428 50,254
44111            New car dealers ………………. (*) (*) (*) 36,805 40,184 38,596 34,435 (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA)
4413        Auto parts, acc. & tire stores…… (*) (*) (*) 5,891 6,684 6,400 6,247 (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA)
                         
442 Furniture & home furn. stores …… 93,824 -11.1 9,185 8,223 7,672 9,521 8,754 7,764 7,743 7,687 8,069 8,212
4421        Furniture stores ………………….. (*) (*) (*) 4,324 4,179 4,542 4,469 (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA)
4422        Home furnishings stores ……….. (*) (*) (*) 3,899 3,493 4,979 4,285 (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA)
                         
443 Electronics & appliance stores …… 102,451 -7.8 13,804 9,944 7,506 13,913 10,325 8,449 8,674 8,435 8,506 9,064
44311, 13        Appl., T.V. & camera……………… (*) (*) (*) 7,790 5,825 10,989 8,204 (*) 6,809 6,612 6,644 7,190
44312        Computer & software stores……. (*) (*) (*) 2,154 1,681 2,924 2,121 (*) 1,865 1,823 1,862 1,874
                         
444 Building material & garden eq. &                        
  supplies dealers……………………. 285,751 -11.6 20,897 21,802 23,268 22,113 23,230 23,343 23,427 22,908 24,784 25,482
4441        Building mat. & sup. dealers …… (*) (*) (*) 18,481 20,081 18,877 19,830 (*) 19,515 19,198 20,698 21,346
                         
445 Food & beverage stores……………. 589,673 0.3 54,161 49,210 49,734 52,275 49,296 49,559 49,946 49,397 48,240 49,343
4451        Grocery stores ………………….. 526,308 0.0 46,892 43,865 44,420 45,372 44,062 44,280 44,578 44,111 43,170 44,150
4453        Beer, wine & liquor stores ……… (*) (*) (*) 3,459 3,536 4,660 3,548 (*) 3,473 3,477 3,442 3,502
                         
446 Health & personal care stores ……. 253,945 3.3 24,235 20,767 21,430 23,123 19,808 21,697 21,520 21,409 20,646 20,720
44611        Pharmacies & drug stores ……… (*) (*) (*) 17,279 17,955 19,054 16,403 (*) 17,887 17,777 17,212 17,140
                         
447 Gasoline stations …………………… 361,542 -24.5 32,680 31,728 32,264 24,506 28,049 34,545 34,190 31,203 25,850 30,521
                         
448 Clothing & clothing accessories                        
    stores …………………………….….. 209,358 -3.1 28,751 18,787 17,394 26,863 18,858 17,461 17,574 17,600 16,628 17,312
                         
44811        Men's clothing stores …………… (*) (*) (*) 762 743 1,165 817 (*) (S) (S) (S) (S)
44812        Women's clothing stores ……….. (*) (*) (*) 3,132 2,976 4,107 3,210 (*) 2,933 2,944 2,905 2,992
44814        Family clothing stores …………… (*) (*) (*) 7,777 7,124 10,633 7,869 (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA)
4482        Shoe stores ……………………… (*) (*) (*) 2,125 2,081 2,771 2,181 (*) 2,155 2,141 2,102 2,162
                         
451 Sporting goods, hobby, book &                         
    music stores………………………… 87,197 -0.6 12,429 7,422 6,366 11,957 7,441 7,411 7,291 7,267 7,084 7,189
                         
452 General merchandise stores………. 594,618 -0.2 70,980 55,296 48,816 69,679 54,778 49,965 50,358 50,099 48,951 49,601
4521        Department stores (ex. L.D.)…….. 188,330 -5.8 26,996 18,605 15,011 27,417 19,569 15,737 15,737 15,667 15,923 16,517
4521        Department stores (incl. L.D.)5…… (*) (*) (*) 19,092 15,453 28,238 20,196 (*) (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA)
4529        Other general merch. stores…. .. (*) (*) (*) 36,691 33,805 42,262 35,209 (*) 34,621 34,432 33,028 33,084
45291            Warehouse clubs &                          
               supercenters…………………. (*) (*) (*) 32,360 29,801 37,058 31,197 (*) 30,644 30,440 29,505 29,403
45299            All oth. gen. merch. stores…… (*) (*) (*) 4,331 4,004 5,204 4,012 (*) 3,977 3,992 3,523 3,681
                         
453 Miscellaneous store retailers …….. 114,252 -2.8 11,572 9,334 9,935 10,974 9,065 9,625 9,722 9,612 9,242 9,427
                         
454 Nonstore retailers ………………….. 294,947 -0.9 35,439 27,051 24,896 31,709 24,153 25,782 25,418 25,008 23,365 23,397
4541        Elect. shopping & m/o houses …. (*) (*) (*) 19,936 17,766 23,654 16,993 (*) 18,494 18,092 16,658 16,261
                         
722 Food services & drinking places … 456,257 0.7 38,286 35,949 38,614 37,826 36,219 37,944 38,162 37,820 37,563 37,965
                         
   (*) Advance estimates are not available for this kind of business.                      
                         
   (NA)  Not available         (S)  Suppressed         (a)  Advance estimate         (p)  Preliminary estimate         (r)  Revised estimate          
                         
   (1)   For a full description of the NAICS codes used in this table, see http://www.census.gov/eos/www/naics            
                         
   (2)   Estimates are concurrently adjusted for seasonal variation and for holiday and trading day differences, but not for price changes. Concurrent seasonal adjustment 
          uses all available unadjusted estimates as input to the X-12 ARIMA program.  The factors derived from the program are used in calculating all seasonally  
          adjusted estimates shown in this table.  Year-to-date seasonally adjusted sales estimates are not tabulated.  Adjustment factors and explanatory material can be found
          on the Internet at http://www.census.gov/retail                        
                         
   (3)   Advance estimates are based on early reports obtained from a small sample of firms selected from the larger Monthly Retail Trade Survey (MRTS) sample.    
          All other estimates are from the MRTS sample.                        
                         
   (4)   GAFO represents firms which specialize in department store types of merchandise and is comprised of furniture & home furnishings (442), electronics & appliances (443),   
          clothing & accessories (448), sporting goods, hobby, book, and music  (451), general merchandise (452), office supply, stationery, and gift stores (4532).    
                         
   (5)   Estimates include data for leased departments operated within department stores.  Data for this line are not included in broader kind-of-business totals.  
                         
   Note:   Table 3 provides estimated measures of sampling variability.  Additional information on confidentiality protection, sampling error, nonsampling error,  
               sample design, and definitions may be found at http://www.census.gov/retail                  
                         
                         
Source: U.S. Census Bureau                        
Service Sector Statistics Division                        
                         
Last revised: January 14, 2010                        
                         
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